Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jorge Mateo
Atlanta Braves · Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves
MG Score
72
B
Tonight's Matchup
vs Kevin Gausman · RHP
ERA
2.84
WHIP
1.14
K%
22%
Velo
90.9
Whiff%
9%
xwOBA-a
.415
Career vs Kevin Gausman: 10 PA · Low sample
AB
10
AVG
.100
OPS
.200
HR
0
H
1
K
2
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
88.2
Barrel%
11.8%
Hard Hit%
47%
Sweet Spot%
53%
xwOBA
0.536
xSLG
0.815
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
40%
12/30 games
AVG
.333
OBP
.385
SLG
.667
OPS
1.051
HR
2
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/28 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/20 | Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Miami Marlins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jorge Mateo
Atlanta Braves · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Avg LA
8.9°
Hard-hit %
45%
Barrel %
18%
Outcomes (44 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
4Single
14Out
23Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.