Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JOSÉ RAMÍREZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSÉ
RAMÍREZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
53
Grade C-
Matchup
VS Taj Bradley · RHP
92.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
55
VS
ERA
4.85
WHIP
1.33
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 73.4 | 89.1 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .334 | .416 |
| xSLG | .397 | .571 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 30% |
| Chase% | 22% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
73.4 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bradley0
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
8 338°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game