JOSÉ URQUIDY

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

JOSÉ

URQUIDY

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup28%83 mph

Curveball22%77 mph

Sinker19%93 mph

4-Seam18%93 mph

Matchup

VS TEX LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

71

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

5.06

WHIP

1.50

K%

24%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	25%	25%
SwStr%	11.6%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.292	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	25%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.8

K/GM

2.6

IP/GM

6.23

ERA

1.62

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

24% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 7 starts

0 of 7 starts over

Last 5: 6.23 ERA · 23% K

3

3

3

8

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TEX—

Tonight's Park

HR

-5%

Hits

-2%

2B

-9%

3B

-28%

K

+1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

74°

Wind

6 96°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:30 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.