Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JUNIOR CAMINERO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JUNIOR
CAMINERO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
81
Grade A-
Matchup
VS Jake Bennett · LHP
89.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
72
.png?width=128&format=webp&quality=85&resize=contain)
VS
ERA
2.64
WHIP
0.94
K%
19%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 94.5 | 84.5 |
| Barrel% | 28% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 57% | 31% |
| xwOBA | .511 | .295 |
| xSLG | .847 | .422 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| Chase% | 30% | 41% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
94.5 avg EV · 28.4% barrel · 57% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bennett0
Tonight's Park
HR
—
Hits
—
2B
—
3B
—
K
—
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
9 305°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+5%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:55 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game