Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Justin Crawford
Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
21
F
Tonight's Matchup
49
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Randy Vásquez · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.23
WHIP
1.14
K%
12%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
85.9
93.3
Barrel%
1.7%
18.2%
Hard Hit%
36%
50%
xwOBA
.274
.606
xSLG
.355
.995
Whiff%
14%
12%
Chase%
39%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Randy Vásquez: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
85.9
Barrel%
1.7%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
21%
xwOBA
0.274
xSLG
0.355
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
44%
12/27 games
AVG
.100
OBP
.100
SLG
.133
OPS
.233
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Cleveland Guardians | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Cincinnati Reds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Cincinnati Reds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Justin Crawford
Philadelphia Phillies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.5 mph
Avg LA
0.4°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
12%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
2Double
7Single
19Out
70Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.