Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
KE'BRYAN HAYES
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
KE'BRYAN
HAYES
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
57
Grade C
Matchup
VS Matthew Boyd · LHP
85.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
68
VS
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.31
K%
26%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 85.5 | 90.9 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 23% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .028 | .354 |
| xSLG | .046 | .497 |
| Whiff% | 20% | 29% |
| Chase% | 27% | 35% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
85.5 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Boyd—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
9 48°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
-16%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:52 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game