Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
KE'BRYAN HAYES
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
KE'BRYAN
HAYES
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
55
Grade C
Matchup
VS Landen Roupp · RHP
87.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
55
VS
ERA
4.64
WHIP
1.34
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.9 | 82.3 |
| Barrel% | 14% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 42% | 27% |
| xwOBA | .365 | .347 |
| xSLG | .554 | .509 |
| Whiff% | 26% | 24% |
| Chase% | 31% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.9 avg EV · 13.9% barrel · 42% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Roupp0
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
9 257°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:34 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game