Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
KYLE TEEL
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
KYLE
TEEL
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Tanner Bibee · RHP
88.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
27
VS
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.02
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 98.9 | 93.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 54% |
| xwOBA | .216 | .338 |
| xSLG | .271 | .464 |
| Whiff% | 56% | 19% |
| Chase% | 31% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
98.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bibee0
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
67°
Wind
9 214°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-5%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:37 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game