Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kyle Tucker
Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
MG Score
47
D
Tonight's Matchup
9
Matchup
Avoid
vs Michael Soroka · RHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.62
WHIP
0.87
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.0
80.2
Barrel%
5.6%
10.5%
Hard Hit%
39%
16%
xwOBA
.331
.215
xSLG
.444
.314
Whiff%
22%
10%
Chase%
23%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Michael Soroka.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.0
Barrel%
5.6%
Hard Hit%
39%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.331
xSLG
0.444
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
9/18 games
Last 30
50%
9/18 games
AVG
.189
OBP
.286
SLG
.351
OPS
.637
HR
0
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Colorado Rockies | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Milwaukee Brewers | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Kyle Tucker
Los Angeles Dodgers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.3 mph
Avg LA
18.6°
Hard-hit %
42%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
1Double
13Single
15Out
68Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.