Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Liam Hicks
Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
MG Score
40
D
Tonight's Matchup
vs Miles Mikolas · RHP · 89.6 mph avg
ERA
3.42
WHIP
0.84
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.1
86.3
Barrel%
3.5%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
26%
25%
xwOBA
.237
.281
xSLG
.338
.412
Whiff%
12%
4%
Chase%
27%
22%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Miles Mikolas.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.1
Barrel%
3.5%
Hard Hit%
26%
Sweet Spot%
19%
xwOBA
0.237
xSLG
0.338
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
54%
14/26 games
AVG
.216
OBP
.356
SLG
.486
OPS
.842
HR
3
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | New York Mets | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | New York Mets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Mets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | New York Mets | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Liam Hicks
Miami Marlins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.1 mph
Avg LA
14.2°
Hard-hit %
36%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
0Double
2Single
19Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.