LOGAN HENDERSON

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

LOGAN

HENDERSON

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup38%80 mph

4-Seam29%92 mph

Cutter29%86 mph

Matchup

VS MIA LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

83

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.18

WHIP

0.99

K%

31%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	10.5%	11%
Chase%	10%	28%
xwOBA-a	.300	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

6.2

K/GM

5.3

IP/GM

2.73

ERA

0.91

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

31% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 6 starts

0 of 6 starts over

Last 5: 2.73 ERA · 30% K

3

8

5

7

7

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs MIA—

Tonight's Park

HR

+8%

Hits

-6%

2B

-17%

3B

-9%

K

+11%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 3:49 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.