Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
MAIKEL GARCIA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MAIKEL
GARCIA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Jack Perkins · RHP
90.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
27
VS
ERA
7.56
WHIP
1.54
K%
26%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.0 | 85.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .293 | .359 |
| xSLG | .365 | .521 |
| Whiff% | 13% | 25% |
| Chase% | 67% | 34% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Perkins—
Tonight's Park
HR
-15%
Hits
+5%
2B
+16%
3B
+76%
K
-12%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
8 85°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-4%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:14 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game