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Odds updated 11:12 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Matt Wilkinson

San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox · Pitcher

ERA 0.00 · WHIP 0.50 · K 0% · 1 starts

Mongoose Bets
MATT WILKINSON
Over K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Matt Wilkinson
MATT
WILKINSON
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS BOS LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
100
Fantastic
projected lineup
VS
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.50
K%
0%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%0%25%
SwStr%0.0%11%
Chase%15%28%
xwOBA-a.201.315
Barrel%-a0%8%
HardHit%-a14%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
0.0
K/GM
2.0
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.50
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
0% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 14% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 0% K
Season
Home
Last 5
vs BOS
Tonight's Park
HR
-9%
Hits
+8%
2B
+24%
3B
-6%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
7 87°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
-12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:13 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.