Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MAURICIO DUBÓN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MAURICIO
DUBÓN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
32
Grade F
Matchup
VS Anthony Molina · RHP
91.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
4.35
WHIP
1.06
K%
8%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 86.1 | 83.9 |
| Barrel% | 2% | 17% |
| Hard Hit% | 27% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .278 | .348 |
| xSLG | .360 | .488 |
| Whiff% | 8% | 17% |
| Chase% | 36% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
86.1 avg EV · 2.4% barrel · 27% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Molina0
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
92°
Wind
5 10°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+9%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:10 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game