MICHAEL KING

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

MICHAEL

KING

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker31%94 mph

Changeup31%87 mph

4-Seam17%94 mph

Sweeper15%81 mph

Slider7%85 mph

Matchup

VS KC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

54

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.11

WHIP

1.21

K%

18%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	24%	25%
SwStr%	11.1%	11%
Chase%	36%	28%
xwOBA-a	.319	.315
Barrel%-a	6%	8%
HardHit%-a	29%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.0

K/GM

5.5

IP/GM

3.25

ERA

1.16

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

18% season K rate

Contact Suppression

6% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.25 ERA · 17% K

9

4

2

4

3

1

5

5

5

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs KC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-15%

Hits

+5%

2B

+16%

3B

+76%

K

-12%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

81°

Wind

6 190°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+15%

K Adj

-4%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:53 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.