Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Mickey Gasper
Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
65
C+
Tonight's Matchup
58
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Shane Baz · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.5
96.5
Barrel%
10.0%
11.1%
Hard Hit%
48%
56%
xwOBA
.384
.358
xSLG
.533
.475
Whiff%
20%
21%
Chase%
28%
33%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Shane Baz: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.5
Barrel%
10.0%
Hard Hit%
48%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.384
xSLG
0.533
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
60%
18/30 games
AVG
.346
OBP
.393
SLG
.385
OPS
.777
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Kansas City Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Kansas City Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Mickey Gasper
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
92.7 mph
Avg LA
16.3°
Hard-hit %
57%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (23 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
2Single
7Out
14Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.