Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miguel Vargas
Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
MG Score
64
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Connor Prielipp · LHP
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.48
K%
22%
Velo
89.3
Whiff%
17%
xwOBA-a
.380
Career vs Connor Prielipp: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.500
OPS
1.167
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.8
Barrel%
24.7%
Hard Hit%
48%
Sweet Spot%
39%
xwOBA
0.475
xSLG
0.787
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
70%
16/23 games
AVG
.256
OBP
.356
SLG
.641
OPS
.997
HR
4
RBI
9
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 5/27 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Miguel Vargas
Chicago White Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.9 mph
Avg LA
21.2°
Hard-hit %
52%
Barrel %
27%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
13Triple
0Double
5Single
17Out
65Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

