Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Mike Yastrzemski
Atlanta Braves · Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves
MG Score
67
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Kevin Gausman · RHP · 90.9 mph avg
ERA
2.84
WHIP
1.14
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.7
87.0
Barrel%
15.0%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
38%
50%
xwOBA
.379
.415
xSLG
.538
.551
Whiff%
17%
9%
Chase%
26%
25%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Kevin Gausman: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
6
AVG
.333
OPS
1.167
HR
1
H
2
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.7
Barrel%
15.0%
Hard Hit%
38%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.379
xSLG
0.538
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
53%
16/30 games
AVG
.381
OBP
.480
SLG
.619
OPS
1.099
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cincinnati Reds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Boston Red Sox | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Washington Nationals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Washington Nationals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Mike Yastrzemski
Atlanta Braves · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.9 mph
Avg LA
13.1°
Hard-hit %
40%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (93 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
1Double
7Single
21Out
61Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.