Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MUNETAKA MURAKAMI
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
MUNETAKA
MURAKAMI
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
65
Grade C+
Matchup
VS MacKenzie Gore · LHP
90.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
82
VS
ERA
4.61
WHIP
1.19
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.9 | 85.6 |
| Barrel% | 25% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 57% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .477 | .347 |
| xSLG | .777 | .503 |
| Whiff% | 37% | 29% |
| Chase% | 22% | 34% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.9 avg EV · 25.0% barrel · 57% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Gore—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
10 282°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+10%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:41 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game