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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Nick Fortes

Tampa Bay Rays · Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays · in lineup

MG Score
43
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
85.9
Barrel%
2.2%
Hard Hit%
43%
Sweet Spot%
20%
xwOBA
0.244
xSLG
0.317

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
55%
16/29 games
AVG
.154
OBP
.214
SLG
.192
OPS
.407
HR
0
RBI
3
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/29Los Angeles Angels3001000
5/27Baltimore Orioles1100000
5/25Baltimore Orioles3001000
5/24New York Yankees3100100
5/22New York Yankees4000020
5/19Baltimore Orioles1000010
5/18Baltimore Orioles4000100
5/17Miami Marlins4100000
5/16Miami Marlins2101000
5/15Miami Marlins1000000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Nick Fortes
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.1 mph
Avg LA
6.9°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (96 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
0
Double
7
Single
21
Out
67
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.