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Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.16 · WHIP 0.97 · K 23% · 11 starts
PARKER MESSICK
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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PARKER
MESSICK
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam52%95 mph
Changeup25%86 mph
Sinker12%93 mph
Slider6%87 mph
Curveball5%80 mph
Matchup
VS KC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.16
WHIP
0.97
K%
23%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 25% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .289 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 9% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 29% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.6
K/GM
6.3
IP/GM
2.01
ERA
0.86
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
23% season K rate
Contact Suppression
9% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.01 ERA · 27% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs KC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
75°
Wind
7 283°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:41 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.