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PATRICK BAILEY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
PATRICK
BAILEY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
63
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Nick Martinez · RHP
88.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
77
VS
ERA
3.81
WHIP
1.08
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.0 | 85.9 |
| Barrel% | 13% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 38% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .436 | .322 |
| xSLG | .686 | .460 |
| Whiff% | 17% | 15% |
| Chase% | 25% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.0 avg EV · 12.5% barrel · 38% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Martinez0
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
55°
Wind
23 358°
Rain
89%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game