Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Patrick Bailey
Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees
MG Score
37
F
Tonight's Matchup
23
Matchup
Avoid
vs Cam Schlittler · RHP · 94.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.34
WHIP
0.89
K%
27%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.8
89.2
Barrel%
8.7%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
26%
38%
xwOBA
.328
.307
xSLG
.543
.418
Whiff%
23%
17%
Chase%
31%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Cam Schlittler.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.8
Barrel%
8.7%
Hard Hit%
26%
Sweet Spot%
22%
xwOBA
0.328
xSLG
0.543
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
38%
8/21 games
AVG
.148
OBP
.207
SLG
.333
OPS
.540
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29 | Boston Red Sox | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Washington Nationals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Philadelphia Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/15 | Cincinnati Reds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/12 | Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/10 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Patrick Bailey
Cleveland Guardians · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.4 mph
Avg LA
14.7°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (71 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
1Single
12Out
56Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.