QUINN MATHEWS

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

QUINN

MATHEWS

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam41%94 mph

Slider24%86 mph

Matchup

VS CIN LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

60

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.60

WHIP

1.80

K%

13%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	23%	25%
SwStr%	11.3%	11%
Chase%	22%	28%
xwOBA-a	.276	.315
Barrel%-a	0%	8%
HardHit%-a	22%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.0

K/GM

5.0

IP/GM

3.60

ERA

1.80

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

13% season K rate

Contact Suppression

0% barrel · 22% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 1 starts

0 of 1 starts over

Last 5: 3.60 ERA · 13% K

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CIN—

Tonight's Park

HR

+27%

Hits

0%

2B

-1%

3B

-24%

K

+2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

—

Wind

—

Rain

—

HR Adj

—

K Adj

—

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:42 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.