Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Richie Palacios
Tampa Bay Rays · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
31
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jack Flaherty · RHP · 87.9 mph avg
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.19
K%
30%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
88.3
92.8
Barrel%
7.7%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
31%
50%
xwOBA
.241
.369
xSLG
.327
.525
Whiff%
21%
40%
Chase%
30%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Jack Flaherty: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
2
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 14d
Exit Velo
88.3
Barrel%
7.7%
Hard Hit%
31%
Sweet Spot%
23%
xwOBA
0.241
xSLG
0.327
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
47%
14/30 games
AVG
.206
OBP
.341
SLG
.294
OPS
.636
HR
0
RBI
7
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Baltimore Orioles | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Yankees | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Yankees | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/19 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Richie Palacios
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
84.2 mph
Avg LA
14.1°
Hard-hit %
27%
Barrel %
8%
Outcomes (64 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
0Double
2Single
17Out
44Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.