ROBBIE RAY

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ROBBIE

RAY

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Changeup28%86 mph

4-Seam22%93 mph

Slider21%86 mph

Sinker15%93 mph

Knuckle-Curve13%79 mph

Matchup

VS TB LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

2.35

WHIP

1.34

K%

18%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	24%	25%
SwStr%	10.7%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.373	.315
Barrel%-a	17%	8%
HardHit%-a	38%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.8

K/GM

5.3

IP/GM

3.42

ERA

1.37

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

18% season K rate

Contact Suppression

17% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 3.42 ERA · 17% K

2

4

4

6

5

6

2

4

4

5

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TB—

Tonight's Park

HR

-3%

Hits

-3%

2B

-11%

3B

+31%

K

+3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:01 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.