Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + NHL + NBA + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Robert Gasser
Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.68 · WHIP 1.18 · K 22% · 11 starts

ROBERT GASSER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

ROBERT
GASSER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker28%93 mph
Sweeper25%80 mph
4-Seam22%93 mph
Changeup17%89 mph
Cutter8%89 mph
Matchup
VS LAD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.68
WHIP
1.18
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 23% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 26% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .399 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 19% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.8
K/GM
5.5
IP/GM
0.98
ERA
0.80
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
19% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 0.98 ERA · 23% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
88°
Wind
4 94°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
