Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Robert Gasser
Milwaukee Brewers · Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.08 · WHIP 1.22 · K 22% · 12 starts
ROBERT GASSER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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ROBERT
GASSER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sweeper25%80 mph
Cutter21%89 mph
4-Seam21%93 mph
Sinker18%93 mph
Changeup15%88 mph
Matchup
VS SEA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.08
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 19% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.2% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .411 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 16% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 41% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.2
K/GM
5.0
IP/GM
4.32
ERA
1.60
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
16% barrel · 41% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 12 starts
0 of 12 starts over
Last 5: 4.32 ERA · 22% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SEA—
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.