Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
RYAN MCMAHON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
RYAN
MCMAHON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
53
Grade C-
Matchup
VS Grayson Rodriguez · RHP
90.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
48
VS
ERA
5.03
WHIP
1.39
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.0 | 88.7 |
| Barrel% | 11% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 36% | 30% |
| xwOBA | .364 | .272 |
| xSLG | .546 | .373 |
| Whiff% | 26% | 21% |
| Chase% | 27% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.0 avg EV · 10.7% barrel · 36% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rodriguez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
8 222°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:20 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game