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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Ryan Vilade

Tampa Bay Rays · Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays · in lineup

MG Score
36
F

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
85.1
Barrel%
5.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
26%
xwOBA
0.302
xSLG
0.455

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
43%
13/30 games
AVG
.308
OBP
.438
SLG
.538
OPS
.976
HR
1
RBI
7
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/29Los Angeles Angels4000000
5/27Baltimore Orioles3002100
5/26Baltimore Orioles1100000
5/24New York Yankees3100110
5/22New York Yankees0001000
5/20Baltimore Orioles2000201
5/18Baltimore Orioles3303100
5/12Toronto Blue Jays4211110
5/10Boston Red Sox2100010
5/8Boston Red Sox4000010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Ryan Vilade
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.5 mph
Avg LA
20.7°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
7%
Outcomes (45 balls)
Home Run
3
Triple
0
Double
3
Single
12
Out
27
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.