Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + NHL + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Sean Newcomb
Chicago White Sox · Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 7.53 · WHIP 1.74 · K 22% · 11 starts
SEAN NEWCOMB
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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SEAN
NEWCOMB
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam48%96 mph
Slurve24%84 mph
Sinker18%95 mph
Matchup
VS CLE LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
7.53
WHIP
1.74
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 23% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 26% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .468 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 14% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 49% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.4
K/GM
1.4
IP/GM
3.86
ERA
1.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
14% barrel · 49% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 3.86 ERA · 27% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CLE—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
64°
Wind
3 294°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-12%
K Adj
+1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:56 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.