SHANE DROHAN

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

SHANE

DROHAN

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam32%95 mph

Slider23%85 mph

Sinker22%95 mph

Curveball14%80 mph

Cutter5%90 mph

Matchup

VS PIT LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

3.19

WHIP

1.23

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	10.5%	11%
Chase%	35%	28%
xwOBA-a	.360	.315
Barrel%-a	9%	8%
HardHit%-a	38%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.6

K/GM

4.4

IP/GM

1.64

ERA

1.32

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

9% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 1.64 ERA · 19% K

5

1

5

4

7

3

5

7

2

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs PIT—

Tonight's Park

HR

-20%

Hits

+1%

2B

+12%

3B

-23%

K

-4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

82°

Wind

2 99°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-3%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 2:08 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.