Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Steven Kwan
Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees · in lineup
MG Score
45
D
Tonight's Park · Yankee Stadium
Big HR parkHR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · clear sky
Wind helping HRHR weather
+4%
Temp
79°
Wind
11 cross
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
80.6
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
7%
Sweet Spot%
39%
xwOBA
0.240
xSLG
0.311
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
46%
11/24 games
AVG
.281
OBP
.361
SLG
.313
OPS
.674
HR
0
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/2 | New York Yankees | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Steven Kwan
Cleveland Guardians · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
81.5 mph
Avg LA
12.4°
Hard-hit %
10%
Barrel %
1%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
4Single
17Out
79Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/24/2026 - 6/2/2026
Games: 5
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
35Exit Velo
81.9 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
11.1%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
27.9%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.339
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
44.4%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
97.0 mph
Launch Angle
7.2°
xBA
0.354
xSLG
0.424
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
44.4%
Fly Ball%
22.2%
Line Drive%
33.3%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.