Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
TEOSCAR HERNÁNDEZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
TEOSCAR
HERNÁNDEZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
62
Grade C+
Matchup
VS J.T. Ginn · RHP
89.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
83
VS
ERA
3.09
WHIP
1.34
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.8 | 85.3 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 40% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .286 | .409 |
| xSLG | .422 | .584 |
| Whiff% | 41% | 22% |
| Chase% | 28% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 40% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ginn—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
13 209°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+22%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:20 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game