Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Trea Turner
Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
54
C-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Randy Vásquez · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
ERA
3.23
WHIP
1.14
K%
12%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.0
93.3
Barrel%
7.5%
18.2%
Hard Hit%
45%
50%
xwOBA
.377
.606
xSLG
.545
.995
Whiff%
24%
12%
Chase%
38%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Randy Vásquez: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
6
AVG
.500
OPS
1.500
HR
1
H
3
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.0
Barrel%
7.5%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.377
xSLG
0.545
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
58%
14/24 games
AVG
.154
OBP
.214
SLG
.308
OPS
.522
HR
2
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/26 | San Diego Padres | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/25 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Cincinnati Reds | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Trea Turner
Philadelphia Phillies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.0 mph
Avg LA
9.9°
Hard-hit %
46%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
4Single
21Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.