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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Trent Grisham

New York Yankees · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

MG Score
66
B-

Tonight's Matchup

67
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Joey Cantillo · LHP · 84.0 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.20
WHIP
1.30
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.4
87.0
Barrel%
15.7%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
29%
xwOBA
.328
.533
xSLG
.475
.857
Whiff%
16%
8%
Chase%
16%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Joey Cantillo.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
89.4
Barrel%
15.7%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
41%
xwOBA
0.328
xSLG
0.475

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
52%
12/23 games
AVG
.378
OBP
.452
SLG
.541
OPS
.993
HR
1
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Athletics5102001
5/30Athletics3000200
5/29Athletics5200020
5/27Kansas City Royals1100100
5/26Kansas City Royals7312000
5/25Kansas City Royals4000020
5/24Tampa Bay Rays3200110
5/22Tampa Bay Rays5300000
5/20Toronto Blue Jays1100000
5/19Toronto Blue Jays3100110

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Trent Grisham
New York Yankees · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.6 mph
Avg LA
17.3°
Hard-hit %
45%
Barrel %
19%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
6
Triple
0
Double
5
Single
12
Out
77
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.