Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Tristan Peters
Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins · in lineup
MG Score
37
F
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
80.4
Barrel%
7.8%
Hard Hit%
25%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.301
xSLG
0.410
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
48%
12/25 games
AVG
.423
OBP
.464
SLG
.538
OPS
1.003
HR
0
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | San Francisco Giants | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Tristan Peters
Chicago White Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
80.4 mph
Avg LA
8.8°
Hard-hit %
27%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (93 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
1Double
7Single
24Out
60Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/22/2026 - 5/31/2026
Games: 9
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
27Exit Velo
77.1 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
24.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
38.5%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.295
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
40.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Chase%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
103.8 mph
Launch Angle
7.8°
xBA
0.309
xSLG
0.373
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
60.0%
Fly Ball%
8.0%
Line Drive%
24.0%
Pop Up%
8.0%
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.