Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Ty France
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
69
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Aaron Nola · RHP · 84.9 mph avg
ERA
4.71
WHIP
1.15
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
91.3
78.7
Barrel%
14.7%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
50%
25%
xwOBA
.415
.297
xSLG
.624
.407
Whiff%
31%
29%
Chase%
39%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Aaron Nola: 5 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.400
OPS
1.000
HR
0
H
2
K
2
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.3
Barrel%
14.7%
Hard Hit%
50%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.415
xSLG
0.624
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
50%
15/30 games
AVG
.300
OBP
.344
SLG
.567
OPS
.910
HR
2
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Athletics | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Ty France
San Diego Padres · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.2 mph
Avg LA
8.8°
Hard-hit %
51%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (65 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
1Double
3Single
16Out
41Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.