Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Tyler Glasnow
Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.79 · WHIP 0.81 · K 32% · 9 starts
TYLER GLASNOW
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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TYLER
GLASNOW
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam47%96 mph
Slider26%90 mph
Matchup
VS DET LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.79
WHIP
0.81
K%
32%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 31% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 15.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 37% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .307 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 36% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.6
K/GM
5.3
IP/GM
2.36
ERA
0.79
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
32% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
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EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 9 starts
0 of 9 starts over
Last 5: 2.36 ERA · 34% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs DET—
Tonight's Park
HR
-10%
Hits
-2%
2B
-8%
3B
+42%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
6 183°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-6%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 4:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.