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Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.44 · WHIP 1.17 · K 19% · 11 starts
WALKER BUEHLER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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WALKER
BUEHLER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Cutter24%91 mph
Sinker22%94 mph
4-Seam22%94 mph
Slider11%87 mph
Knuckle-Curve8%78 mph
Sweeper7%81 mph
Changeup7%89 mph
Matchup
VS MIL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.44
WHIP
1.17
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 16% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 25% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .376 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 15% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 40% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.8
K/GM
4.1
IP/GM
4.87
ERA
1.43
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
15% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.87 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
4 317°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:19 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.