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Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.91 · WHIP 1.43 · K 18% · 11 starts
WALKER BUEHLER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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WALKER
BUEHLER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker27%95 mph
Cutter25%91 mph
4-Seam17%94 mph
Slider11%87 mph
Changeup9%90 mph
Sweeper6%83 mph
Matchup
VS TB LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
5.91
WHIP
1.43
K%
18%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 15% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 31% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .297 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 29% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.8
K/GM
5.4
IP/GM
2.67
ERA
1.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
18% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.67 ERA · 18% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TB—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
-3%
2B
-11%
3B
+31%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:14 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.