Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Will Smith
Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
MG Score
89
A
Tonight's Matchup
53
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Michael Soroka · RHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
1.62
WHIP
0.87
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
92.2
80.2
Barrel%
21.4%
10.5%
Hard Hit%
45%
16%
xwOBA
.473
.215
xSLG
.692
.314
Whiff%
15%
10%
Chase%
24%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Michael Soroka.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.2
Barrel%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
46%
xwOBA
0.473
xSLG
0.692
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
65%
11/17 games
Last 30
65%
11/17 games
AVG
.206
OBP
.308
SLG
.412
OPS
.719
HR
2
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Colorado Rockies | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Will Smith
Los Angeles Dodgers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.0 mph
Avg LA
21.5°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
23%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
0Double
3Single
25Out
70Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.