Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Xander Bogaerts
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
38
F
Tonight's Matchup
23
Matchup
Avoid
vs Aaron Nola · RHP · 84.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.71
WHIP
1.15
K%
20%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.0
78.7
Barrel%
9.7%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
32%
25%
xwOBA
.327
.297
xSLG
.470
.407
Whiff%
20%
29%
Chase%
30%
40%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Aaron Nola: 16 PA · Low sample
AB
16
AVG
.125
OPS
.250
HR
0
H
2
K
4
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.0
Barrel%
9.7%
Hard Hit%
32%
Sweet Spot%
25%
xwOBA
0.327
xSLG
0.470
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
50%
10/20 games
AVG
.167
OBP
.231
SLG
.250
OPS
.481
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/25 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Athletics | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/22 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Xander Bogaerts
San Diego Padres · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.6 mph
Avg LA
4.6°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
1Single
28Out
66Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.