Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 1:54 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Mongoose Bets
YANDY DÍAZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Yandy Díaz
YANDY
DÍAZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
75
Grade B
Exit Velo92.5Barrel%17%Hard Hit%56%xwOBA.405Sweet Spot%37%Whiff%13%Chase%26%
Matchup
VS Jake Bennett · LHP
89.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
64
Average
VS
ERA
2.64
WHIP
0.94
K%
19%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo92.581.0
Barrel%17%5%
Hard Hit%56%35%
xwOBA.405.335
xSLG.556.481
Whiff%13%19%
Chase%26%24%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
92.5 avg EV · 16.9% barrel · 56% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bennett—
Tonight's Park
HR
—
Hits
—
2B
—
3B
—
K
—
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
9 305°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+5%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:54 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game