Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + NHL + NBA + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.38 · WHIP 0.91 · K 26% · 11 starts

YOSHINOBU YAMAMOTO
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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YOSHINOBU
YAMAMOTO
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Splitter26%92 mph
4-Seam22%96 mph
Curveball16%77 mph
Sinker15%96 mph
Cutter14%92 mph
Matchup
VS MIL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.38
WHIP
0.91
K%
26%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 31% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 15.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 39% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .221 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 4% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 18% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.0
K/GM
5.9
IP/GM
3.03
ERA
0.88
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
26% season K rate
Contact Suppression
4% barrel · 18% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 3.03 ERA · 26% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:25 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
